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Does anyone recall that Bush has always been against setting withdrawal dates for getting out of Iraq because the insurgents and terrorists could then just sit back and wait for us to leave?
Isn't this likely the main reason we're seeing a lower body count in Iraq? The insurgents, al Qaeda and Shiite militias all see that our "Surge" troop levels cannot last beyond early Spring, and so have stepped-back their aggression in order to conserve their resources for a post-Surge push.
Aside from the fact that the Surge has not been a success relative to its stated goal -- of enabling political progress -- the Surge's military successes will likely be short-lived.