It's a very logical and extensive argument you have made, but at the end of the day it's human beings that are voting and they have a tendency to stubbornly defy the math.  Has it occurred to you that people simply respond to what Obama says because they hear a sincerity that they may find lacking in Hillary?  I keep seeing people talking about Obama koolaid, but I don't see it that way at all.  He just phrases things in a way I find precise and honest.  It may be just calculated political words to you but to me it shows clear thinking that hits all the right points.  I hear Hillary and McCain and I hear politics, politics, politics. 

It just so happened that Bill Clinton made a campaign stop in my city on his first presidential run.  I went to see him on a whim and I was damned impressed, not because he had an abundance of "experience" or was "ready to go on day one" or any bullshit like that.  He spoke eloquently clearly, passionately, and I walked away liking the man.  I also voted for him.

That's what wins, not all that other horseshit.