Obama Map | 36 comments (36 topical, 0 hidden)
I was gonna riff on Rove (none / 0)

But Tim did it better than I could.  (Tim is on fire lately, btw)

You know this map is legit when it has Nebraska as a toss-up state. What a joke.

How do we win without Ohio? Easy.  We win all the blue above + NM, CO, MI and PA.  You didn't really think that out did you?

As for your trivia question, I don't think you know the answer.  I do.  Judging by the media spin on this I might be the only person in America who does though.  But then my hobby is making massive comprehensive spreadsheets of data so nothing to brag about.  How many time have the Dems won without WV in the last 100 years, Ken?

How many time has the GOP won without Colorado in that span? Nevada? 

What two states has the GOP never won the general when the dems carried? Ever? 

What three other states has the GOP had in every win since 1900?

Just to show how much any of that actually means- The GOP had never won an election without IL, PA and VT until 2000. (which they actually lost).  They lost IL, PA and VT in 2000 and 2004.

NJ, CT  and DE were necessary from 1896 to 2000 when the GOP lost them both.

CA went for every winning Republican from 1888-2000. 

This shit means nothing.  (Its interesting though).

OH is on an 11 election win streak, so are KY and TN (were wrong on JFK), LA is at 10, AR and MO are the active leader at 12.

Taking a quick look at the 20th century the longest win streak I found was TX with 16 from 1912-1988.  IL and NJ had streaks of 14

by ProfRich on 05/14/2008 12:58:13 AM EST

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forget about history (none / 0)

It's really not relevant to this election... new, unexpected things happen all the time.  Ohio and Florida may not be very important this year if Obama can pick up Kansas, Colorado, and Mississippi.  The 50 state strategy will be in full effect for the first time this year. 

 

I don't think any plan that relies on New Mexico or Nevada is a winning one, though.  Too many shenanigans in NM and NV has relatively unknown demographics.   

by schmoab on 05/14/2008 01:37:19 AM EST

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obscure (none / 0)
"How many time have the Dems won without WV in the last 100 years, Ken?"

I can think of 1916. Which one am I missing?

by KenTX on 05/14/2008 05:36:21 AM EST

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That is the one (none / 0)

By your logic Colorado is at least as important if not more to the GOP.  So is Nevada.  So lets start watching those if this means anything. 

Now the other questions?

by ProfRich on 05/14/2008 09:50:16 AM EST

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1916 is interesting (none / 0)
Woodrow Wilson was a Virginian. I can't understand why WV would not support him? Did it vave something to do with the split of the state during the Civil War?

by KenTX on 05/14/2008 10:43:38 AM EST

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That makes sense (none / 0)

Of course that election was all about war and peace.  Could be WV was wanting to enter WWI. 

Although the hatred of Virginia seems reasonable. 

by ProfRich on 05/14/2008 11:27:39 AM EST

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Obama Map | 36 comments (36 topical, 0 hidden)