How to win the election without Florida or Ohio | 15 comments (15 topical, 0 hidden)
If a Democrat wins Texas... (none / 0)
I will look for vacation homes in Hell, because the weather will be acceptable and the beach there is nice this time of year!

I suppose I'll have to move my secret bunker location out of Texas if the Dems take over - Utah, here I come!!!!

You are delusional if you think that Texas will go blue this year - maybe later, but not now...

:)

by bobo1 on 05/07/2008 01:20:38 PM EST

[ Parent ]
How far will you go? (none / 0)

I agree the GOP will win Texas in a 50/50 election.  Probably in a 52/48.  But how much will you gaurauntee the win by?  10%, 20%.

What will the closest one week poll average in TX between the conventions and elections be?

My argument is not the GOP will lose TX but I think there is some chance they might have to spend money here.  That will kill them. 

by ProfRich on 05/07/2008 01:49:48 PM EST

[ Parent ]
Two answers (none / 0)

1) 1976

2) the people moving here are Republicans from California

I do think it is interesting that Texas has been rabidly GOP when Bush runs but less so for other candidates.

Margins of victory for Texas

Cloumns: first is actual margin, second is margin minus national margin.

2004- 22.86      20.40

2000- 21.32      21.84

1996- 4.93        13.45

1992- 3.48         9.04

1988- 12.60       4.87

1984- 27.50       9.28

1980- 13.86       4.12

 

by ProfRich on 05/07/2008 02:23:06 PM EST

[ Parent ]

How to win the election without Florida or Ohio | 15 comments (15 topical, 0 hidden)