It would be nice if the world were that simple, but Obama's prospects for a second term depend heavily on what alternatives are presented in 2012. Obama's broken promises, sure...but he hasn't done anything that would make a rational human give so much as a thought to voting for Sarah Palin or Dick Cheney. Barring the introduction of a hitherto unknown miracle candidate, the majority of the country will go into selective memory mode and vote the safe way.