The Young Turks

I laughed at the nobel prize winning economists. careful you risk being called a know it all hippy fag  by Bobo1

It is not only the McCain legacy.  It is also the conservative ideology going south.  The verdict is in after 28 yrs of Reaganomics and neo con con jobs getting us into illegal wars.

The bail out should start at the bottom and work its way up to the mutherfuckers that got us into this fix. Heard on cspan this morning a Ph.D discribe one element contributing to the "crash". He said there was no regulation, (as everyone knows) and the regulators that were in places turned a blind eye to.... get this.... firms borrowing 30 times the assests or colateral they held. In other words they were worth a dollar and were allowed to borrow $30 using the $1 as colteral, figuratively speaking.

Perhaps the one good thing that might evolve from this is these rightwing MOFOs won't want to bragg about how conservative they are.  There will be some hangers on from now on but for the most part the Conservatism started by Reagan has been a proven  LOSER.

This is exactly what happened about a week ago.  RCP removed the DCOS/Research 2000 daily poll from their average when Research 2000 discovered this latest shift to Obama 3 days before Gallup, Newsweek and Hotline.

If there is a shift back to McCain, which likely will also be predicted earlier by DCOS/Research 2000, then they will add that poll back to their average.

They also "push" the polling numbers toward McCain by selecting when to add polling results to the average.  For example, Gallup releases their numbers every day at 1 pm.  If there is an increase in Obama's numbers, RCP will wait 23 hours before posting it (noon the next day).  If the new numbers favor McCain, they are added to the average within 5 minutes (by 1:05 pm).  Since these polls generally have about a 3-point margin of error, this activity shifts the average as much as 3 points in McCain's favor.

So, to a good approximation, if RCP sees an Obama advantage of 7%, then it is likely that the Obama advantage is closer to 10%.

I average out the four major daily tracking polls (Rasmussen, Gallup, Research 2000 and Hotline).

Saturday was a new high water mark for Obama at +9.5.

More significantly, there are fewer and fewer undecideds.  IN order to win now, McCain will need to get every undecided and flip 1 in 8 Obama voters.

Next week should begin with Palin found guilty and McCain campaign inciting threats of violence before turning to the debate Wednesday where McCain will have the choice of calling Obama a terrorist to his face or not.  If he does, he looks super-negative and looks like he is stirring up people to literally kill Obama.  If he doesn't he breaks his word (he told his supporters he would, its on video) and looks like a weasely little pussy (again).

Maybe he wins the debate somehow, but as of now, McCain has hit his all-time low, next week looks like one more disaster for his campaign and there are now 24 days left.

Ouch.