Final Ruling on the Automaker Bailouts
During this recent debate about a government bailout of the US auto industry, I have obnoxiously retorted every chance I got that it's not the "auto industry" that is looking for a bailout, it's Chrysler, Ford and GM that are looking for a bailout. The health of the "auto industry" basically depends on the demand for cars (and the availability of financing to pay for them). The existence of any particular company (or three) depends on factors unique to that company. A short, simple Monday New York Times article anticipating this week's Congressional testimony from the Big Three reinforced my thoughts.
Each of the Big Three apparently is in a very different situation. Chrysler is on the verge of disappearing. The company itself admits that any government money would be needed to run operations for 2009. Chrysler seems beyond hope, and a bailout for that company seems to be a waste of money.
Ford is in better shape, and has already begun plans to improve its products. Ford will be asking for money as a financial back up. If Ford is generally doing the right things and needs $9 billion financial backing, sure, I don't object to that as long as they meet other minor but important conditions to make sure they spend money wisely.
General Motors will be presenting a major plan to overhaul the company. This plan will include various cuts, reductions and reorganizations, including, it seems to me, a reduction in workforce. This one remains a tougher call. One of the passionate arguments heard in favor of a bailout is that if we don't do anything, too many jobs will be lost. But if the expectations are correct, jobs at GM will be lost even with a bailout. At the end of the day, considering my antipathy to how the companies have been run for decades, and my bailout fatigue, I say tough luck to GM.
Final rulings: Ford, you are pardoned. Chrysler and GM, it was nice knowing you.












