Final nail in the economy's coffin?

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U.S. Economy Unexpectedly Sheds 17,000 Jobs

The economy lost 17,000 jobs in January, the Labor Department reported on Friday, the first decline in four years and the most striking evidence yet that the United States may be slipping into a recession.

Jobs disappeared across a broad spectrum of professions, with the steepest losses coming in the manufacturing, construction and goods-producing industries.

The unemployment rate, after jumping to 5 percent in December, fell back slightly, to 4.9 percent.

"This is the clearest signal yet that the job market is either in or teetering on a recession," said Jared Bernstein, senior economist at the liberal Economic Policy Institute in Washington.

With the collapse of the housing market, trouble on Wall Street and the continuing fallout of the subprime mortgage crisis, many economists have pointed to the continued growth in the labor market as the final holdout in a sluggish economy.

But the employment report puts the job market in a startlingly different light. Economists had predicted a substantial gain in January payrolls, and early signs pointed to a relatively strong report. Instead, the government reported the first decline in jobs since August 2003.

"There's a race going on between an economy that's gathering weakness and aggressive monetary and fiscal policy," said Ethan Harris, chief United States economist at Lehman Brothers. "Whether we have a recession in the U.S. or not depends on which of these two forces moves quicker."

Mr. Harris noted that the employment data can be quite volatile from month to month. The last reported monthly decline, in August 2007, was later revised up to a 74,000 gain.

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Do I hear a mass defection among the formerly Repub ranks?  Romney made a silly (and false) promise to Detroit workers to bring their jobs back, while knowing his MO in business was to gut companies with big lay-offs before selling them again.  McCain actually truthfully said those jobs aren't ever coming back.  Mayhap there's a bigger albatross than even Iraq that will be hung around a Repub neck this November:  jobless, pissed-off Americans motivated to head to the polls to express their frustration.

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This may be bad for the country, but good for the Democratic agenda.  The US has been teetering on the brink ever since 2001 and 7 years of hollow policies have really put a strain on our bloated, highly leveraged economy.  This is a correction that was inevitable, and it just may get a Democrat into the white house, no matter how much McCain tries to scare us.  IMHO it will also put a much higher importance on the issue of Illegal Immigration as we've got too many people competing for not enough jobs.

by schmoab on 02/01/2008 11:55:52 AM EST

Well if you're concerned about illegal immigration, you sure don't want McCain in thw WH.

by acroso on 02/01/2008 12:13:31 PM EST

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Im not worried about illegal immigration and Im not going to vote for McCain. Answered. Move along

by Chinese Democracy on 02/01/2008 02:33:46 PM EST

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Yes...the economic stagnation and an unpopular criminal President...another case of deja vu.

The general, only-pay-attention-two-week s-before-voting public is a fickle lot. When they cast their votes, they will do so knowing we're in deep doo doo. They will soon forget that it was the Bush years which brought us here and whoever is president will take the blame for decades to come. Ask Jimmy Carter what it's like to take over a failed economy, work for four years to get it back in shape and then have some out of work actor come along and take the huzzahs. Sux, I bet.

Ever hear the saying, "Well, at least it can't get any worse"?

Wrong.

by MedfordTim on 02/01/2008 12:34:27 PM EST

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"...take over a failed economy, work for four years to get it back in shape and then have some out of work actor come along and take the huzzahs."
That's the best summary of the Reagan years I've heard yet.

"If you're not pumped up, then get the hell out, 'cause you don't belong here." -- Cenk Uygur

by Spinny on 02/01/2008 12:47:24 PM EST

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...Reagan and his cronies did everything they could to take whatever national "profit" there was out of the growth and give it exclusively to the absolute richest people they could find.  That they weren't entirely successful is because Democrats controlled Congress, but they did slow down the recovery from the sabotage done by the Saudis for more than a decade.

by Juarez Traveller on 02/01/2008 09:18:14 PM EST

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One of the most encouraging things I heard in last night's debate was the willingness of both candidates to raise taxes on the wealthy.

This is where the economy can get a shot in the arm by investing that money in places that will make the economy grow.

We are already in a recession.  It amuses me the "almosts", "might be heading fors" that I hear all over the media. 

We're there.  And I think that the American people do have enough brain cells to know that Bush got 'em to this point.  People have been worried about and complaining about the economy for a long while know.  The media hasn't reported it because big business was doing pretty well, and so how could the economy be bad?

As sympathetic as I am to Hillary and her plight in some ways, we're going to need a President that can inspire people enough to work through some bad times coming.  Hillary would come in with too many negatives and not enough good will to get done what needs to be done.


I was hoping that Edwards was going to be the leader, but if not him, then Obama.

by blueheartinaredstate on 02/01/2008 02:18:00 PM EST

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