The Young Turks

"DO THE MATH"! Cenk, as well as editors at the Politico said the other day, "its ALL OVER for Hillary".

I'm sorry Cenk, but I'm afraid to tell you, its actually the other way around. Barring an endorsement by Edwards prior to the North Carolina primary (which ain't gonna happen), HILLARY IS GOING TO WIN.

I say this, not as a Hillary supporter, nobody could be more of an anti-DLC, anti-Clinton, and progressive Democrat than myself. I WANT OBAMA TO WIN! I strongly want to see a more progressive, more humane, and far more decent American society than we have today. And we are NOT going to get that with Hillary Clinton and her "gutter" politics. Obama really would pave the way to a better, more decent and humane America. But Hillary will win, and there isn't much we can do about it.

But Cenk says, "thats IMPOSSIBLE, look at the MATH!"

No Cenk, its NOT impossible, in fact, Hillary will probably be nominated. Of course, Hillary will NOT win the general election in the fall, as she will have secured the nomination with such disgusting gutter tactics and dishonesty that few independents will vote for her - and many, many African-Americans and young voters will simply stay home in November.

You say its "impossible" Cenk, because of "the numbers". No Cenk, the reason Hillary will win is quite simple, the "Archie Bunker" Democrat.

To those of you too young, or not yet born to remember 1970's TV, Archie Bunker was a very popular television characterization of the typical New Jersey (or Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana or Kentucky for that matter) blue collar white worker, poorly educated and harboring sterotypical racist attitudes toward others. He votes for Democrats because of his union affiliation and distrust of corporate power, but harbors deep seated resentments toward Blacks, Hispanics, Jews, or others he feels a need to scapegoat for the rough life of his community.

 This is the "Reagan Democrat", the blue collar white worker who Barack had the courage to openly speak to in his powerful speech, when he spoke of how he "understood those who resented busing", and continued to harbor underlying feelings of resentment.

Barack understands these Dems, their anguish about life, the scapegoating they do (just as Barack understands how some Blacks, like the Rev. Wright at times, also do their fare share of scapegoating). But unfortunately, many of these blue collar Whites don't understand him, or they don't want to understand him. They don't want to face it, because few us can ever face up to scapegoating. Its too easy and convenient to just keep on doing it.

So when the news broke a little over a week ago about the Rev. Wright, I have to admit I practically broke down and cried. I felt a deep pain. Because I knew then it was probably over for Obama. All the great strides forward, the BIG WINS in Virginia and  Wisconsin among White voters for Barack, which really showed America was ready at long last to accept real racial equality, all that came tumbling down. I knew Archie Bunker was going to win again, just like he did against Al Gore in 2000, when Charleton Heston helped win West Virginia, Tennessee, and Ohio for Bush by holding up a flintlock gun at every crowd he went to and saying, "over my dead body will they take my gun!". Archie went nuts for his guns and gave it George W.! Patriotism, race, even guns, all intertwine in an ugly knot in the mind of Archie Bunker.

Hillary KNOWS HOW TO PLAY ARCHIE BUNKER for the fool. Hillary was already doing that with her "3am ad"; the little White children safe in bed with the White lady in charge to protect them, and her "not that I know of" quip about Barack being Muslim. Hillary saying after the Lousiana primary that Barack only won because of "fired up Blacks", questions about support from Louis Farrakhan, etc, etc. And last but not least, a phony appeal to Archie Bunker on NAFTA, LYING (as her First Lady records prove) about how she never supported it. COVERING UP her ties to corporate lobbying interests and the DLC. "Me? a pro- corporate lobbyist Democrat? No never! Clintons' love working class Americans!" What a bunch of hog-wash! But Archie Bunker just GOBBLES UP every word of Hillary's lies that SHE is looking out for him, as her lies feed his sense of resentment of others unlike himself.

So, Cenk, just as ol' George W. played the gun lobby with his pal Charleton Heston to beat Al Gore in his home state of Tennessee and the rest of the Appalachian heartland and Ohio River Valley (West Virginia, Kentucky, Southern Ohio and Southern Indiana and even parts of Western and Central Pennsylvania - though Gore won the Philadelphia area). Just as George W. played these "Reagan Democrats" in of this part of America to beat Gore, Hillary will play these Archie Bunker Reagan Democrats too, all the way to the nomination.

Coupled with the strong support of the popular "Archie Bunker Governor" Ed Rendell in Pennsylvania (who himself made a few disturbing racist statements against his former rival for the governorship, ex-football player Lynn Swan), Hillary will probably get more than 60% of the vote in Pennsylvania. This, along with big wins that Archie will give her in West Virginia, Indiana, and Kentucky, will be enough for Hillary Clinton to claim, "Hey! Along with the Florida and Michigan,  I WON!!! YOU MUST GIVE IT TO ME!"

At that point, the numbers just WONT MATTER Cenk, the PERCEPTION is what will matter. The perception of FEAR among the Super Delegates is what will matter.

Remembering what Archie Bunker and the Reagan Democrats did in 2000 and 2004, they will gladly hand the nomination to Hillary, and risk whatever protests might break out for a little while at the convention.

Because the power-that-be, the Super Delegates, are FAR MORE afraid of Archie Bunker than they are of a few protesters.  

But, in the end, the joke is on Hillary. Because Archie Bunker will turn his back on Hillary to vote for "the War Hero" John McCain. The man, who, according to Hillary and Bill Clinton, loves America more and is better to lead it than her fellow Democrat.

The crime of Hillary and Bill Clinton saying these things, running this gutter campaign, will not go unpaid in November.