Prediction Time: Kentucky and Oregon

Email Print posted by richardshort2001 05/20/2008 02:17:47 AM EST

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Sorry, bobo, if you were going to do this, but I didn't see you online and normally you have done it by now and I was curious what people thought would happen tonight.

Me first:

Kentucky - Hillary by 27

Oregon - Obama by 23

I think the campainging like he has already won strategy is a mistake on Obama's part.  I understand the theory behind it, but it kind of plays into the elitist spin.

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Prediction Time: Kentucky and Oregon | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 hidden)
Thanks rshort... (none / 0)
I completely forgot and am lagging in my duties! My apologies!

As for Kentucky - I dont think it will be the drubbing in the line of WV, but I still believe it will be bad - Clinton by 30.

It still pretty telling though that Obama cant win in conservatve democratic areas of Middle America, though...

In Oregon, It will be closer than most would think - but Clinton has no shot here with all of the transplant Liberal Californians - Obama by 20.

They'll play up Oregon as being so dramatic for Obama, but really its one of the bluest states and a big win there for Obama actually bolsters Hillary's argument that Obama appeals to the "further left" of the party and will struggle where it counts... Notice Obama didnt even campaign in Kentucky - wonder why?....


Thanks!!!

:)

by bobo1 on 05/20/2008 09:03:10 AM EST

Prediction Time: Kentucky and Oregon | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 hidden)
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