The real welfare state: It's not for you or me.

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Short analysis of the real beneficaries of government largesse.

With the massive increases in the price of oil and other commodities, it is becoming obvious to just about everyone-with the exception of the Treasury-that these price forces are a result of institutionalized speculation. Looking at this historically, this point was inevitable considering that since 1975 there has been looming financial crisis that have not fully corrected themselves. Conservatives deride the government for being pro-lazy, etc. The reality is that the government works in the interests of corporations and their interests.

Since the first oil crisis in 1973, the American economy has transformed itself from a industrial society with a fairly equitable distribution of income and a strong progressive bent, whereas today the United States could not be further from that. In that process of rising inequality, deindustrialization, and increasing poverty has seen the role of FIRE (financials) increase exponentially to becoming the major industry in the United States. As the financial sector was gradually deregulated and given freer and freer reign with less and less government oversight the curses of rampant financial speculation has created a monster beneath the surface of a calm economy.

Consider the number of unresolved crisis' in the financial sector since 1975:

-1982: Debt Crisis
-1987: S&L Crisis
-1998: LTCM Crisis
-2000: DOT-COM Bubble
-2001: ENRON/TYCO/Global Crossing
-2007: Sub-prime mortgage Crisis
-2008: Oil Bubble
-20??: Next Crisis

Each succeeding crisis has gotten worse, and there are troubling reasons why. First, the Fed and the government since the early 1980s has engaged in the logic of "Too Big To Fail" T.B.T.F, whereby they save banks and after Bear Sterns, investing institutions. This is known as a moral hazard, if these massive amalgamated corporations with such leverage over the whole economy know that the government and the tax payer will bail them out, they will continue their highly speculative behaviour for short-term profit. The welfare state does not exist for the poor, rather it exists for the rich who make stupid decisions.

Secondly, with the take over of Bear Sterns by the Fed and J.P. Morgan, the concentration of power increases exponentially in smaller and smaller hands.  Each succeeding crisis has lead to collapses of financial corporations, and the selling of assets to a smaller and smaller group of what is termed "dominant capital". Thus, as these mega-corporations become more and more mega...the government will have no choice to come in and save them.

Thirdly, the government has been increasingly lax in the regulation of the markets. Hedge-funds are basically free of any regulatory oversight, as evidenced in the LTCM affair in 1998:

"Hedge funds are not regulated by anybody. Indeed, they are legally exempt from the two major pieces of legislation which govern other firms in the financial industry: the Securities Exchange Commission Act of 1934 and the Investment Company Act of 1940. In order to remain exempt from the Investment Company Act, hedge funds must have fewer than a hundred investors, or, alternatively, their investors must be worth at least five million dollars each. (In order to avoid the reporting requirements of the Securities Exchange Act, hedge funds must have fewer than five hundred investors.) The securities laws were designed to protect ordinary investors from Wall Street tricksters. Rich people were viewed as smart enough to look after themselves." (New Yorker, 1999)

About the current crisis in oil:

"A June 2006 US Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations report on “The Role of Market Speculation in rising oil and gas prices,” noted, “...there is substantial evidence supporting the conclusion that the large amount of speculation in the current market has significantly increased prices.”

What the Senate committee staff documented in the report was a gaping loophole in US Government regulation of oil derivatives trading so huge a herd of elephants could walk through it. That seems precisely what they have been doing in ramping oil prices through the roof in recent months." (Engdahl, May 2)*

Without any meaningful government oversight, these super-elite can do whatever they want and not suffer the consequences. CEO's do not care about the economy, or even their own corporations they care about their own value. Meaning they manipulate the market by creating hype, and when they know things are going to tank they short their stocks or sell their long positions. Then they are exposed, are fired (and paid millions to be fired) and get a new CEO position somewhere else. This is a totally new class of rich, they have no loyalty to country, company, nothing but themselves. These transient CEO's remind me of those unemployed men in the 1930s on the trains looking for work, hobo's. According to eminent American sociologist, Thorstein Veblen on this very subject (written in 1904):

It follows, further, that under these circumstances the men who have the management of such an industrial enterprise, capitalized and quotable on the market, will be able to induce a discrepancy between the putative and the actual earning-capacity, by expedients well known and approved for the purpose. Partial
information, as well as misinformation, sagaciously given out at a critical juncture, will go far toward producing a favorable temporary discrepancy of this kind, and so enabling the managers to buy or sell the securities of the concern with advantage to themselves. If they are shrewd business men, as they commonly are, they will aim to manage the affairs of the concern with a
view to an advantageous purchase and sale of its capital rather than with a view to the future prosperity of the concern, or to the continued advantageous sale of the output of goods or services produced by the industrial use of this capital.
 

That is to say, the interest of the managers of a modern
corporation need not coincide with the permanent interest of the corporation as a going concern;
neither does it coincide with the interest which the community at large has in the efficient management of the concern as an industrial enterprise. It is to the interest of the community at large that the enterprise should be so managed as to give the best and largest possible output of goods or services; whereas the interest of the corporation as a going concern is that it be managed with a view to maintaining its efficiency and selling as large an output as may be at the best prices obtainable in the long run; but the interest of the managers, and of the owners for the time being, is to so manage
the enterprise as to enable them to buy it up or to sell out as expeditiously and as advantageously as may be.

(Veblen, Theory of Business Enterprise)


Fourthly, the warfare state has been another source of corporate welfare. The perpetual "War on Terror" and its corresponding imperialist war in Iraq have lead to a privatization of the most basic functions of the liberal state, the monopolization of the legitimate use of violence in the state's hands.Iraq's oil fields now-as mentioned by Cenk-are now back in the hands of Western dominant capital, principally the five-sisters, Exxon, Shell, BP, Total, Chevron.** Iraq is being neoliberalized as it was one of the only state's in the post-Cold War period that refused to accede to American hegemony. A warning about the effects of imperialism within a liberal democratic country was sounded by J.A. Hobson back in 1902, from my essay on the subject of imperialism:

"Understandably, Hobson perceived imperialism to be a destabilizing factor to the future of Britain as a liberal democracy; the much larger scale of imperialism, the capture of the state by investing class interests, the forcible submission of large foreign populations, and imperial competition with other imperialist states. Hobson wrote, “as a result of imperial competition, an ever larger proportion of the time, energy, and money of ‘imperialist’ nations is absorbed by naval and military armaments” (Hobson II.I.40).


An observation not lost on Etherington who noted that “two-thirds of government spending” is due to these military expenditures (Etherington 22). This militarization had social effects that Hobson saw as being anti-democratic and authoritarian. “Both the colonial administrator and the professional soldier acquired habits of mind fundamentally at odds with liberal democracy” (Etherington 23). Hobson also warned about the consequences of this move towards militarism, and the growing tendency towards illiberality in Europe and Britain in the early twentieth century as inter-imperialist
competition began to grow" (Nick86, Explaining Imperialism)

The US government has been engaging in right-wing populism (corporatism) for the last 30 years, prejudicing against the average working man and woman in the United States, destroying the family, and creating increasingly precarious situations for the youth. Meanwhile incomes of the super-rich have increased hundreds of times. In 2006, 50% of the nations income went to the richest 20% and that has increased since then.

 America is resembling Argentina more and more everyday, an country mired in endemic crisis.

*Thanks ihavenobias for the article
** Does anyone know of really good articles on the oil privatization in Iraq?

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Believe it or not I agree with some of your critique of the current American economy, especially&nb sp;the "Moral Hazard" of bailing out speculators and large financial interests that make stupid risks (markets work best when people who do stupid things are allowed to fail miserably!).  I also think that imperialism is a system who's time is long past...it is simply no longer an economically viable system as evidenced by the Iraq occupation.  I think most countries figured that out long ago, but for some reason the Bush administration didn't get the memo.  I don't however agree on oil, but that is a debate that has already occured on a number of threads. 

However I do think you need some reading in addition to your hero Veblen.  I think you'll like this guy...He does a weekly column for MSN money.  He, like you, sees major problems with "the system", but unlike you he also tries to find ways to exploit these problems for profit (I highly recommend the practice by the way).  I always joke with Ken that the best way to see how confident a Republican is in his views is to check his portfolio.  Its harder to do with Democrats because they usually refuse to put their money where their mouth is. 

Anyway here are the links

latest column

Archive

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 03:38:13 AM EST


"Believe it or not I agree with some of your critique of the current American economy, especially&nb sp;the "Moral Hazard" of bailing out speculators and large financial interests that make stupid risks (markets work best when people who do stupid things are allowed to fail miserably!)."

That's the problem with American capitalism, its in endemic crisis. These corporations have become so large that they cannot fail, if they do fail the consequences could be severe. It's not like its some small investor who making the stupid risks, its large institutional investors who are making and enabling the risks. The big banks lend out billions to the likes of Bern Sterns, who in turn spend that money on bad investments, and now what do you have...a government bail out. Like in the LTCM affair, it had over $150 billion in investments but only $4 billion in liquid capital, when a crisis hit Russia their entire (neoclassical) assumptions of the "perfect" market failed and so did they...until they were bailed out. The problem was that major investors followed LTCM and the failure of LTCM could have lead to a collapse of the American financial system. The crisis in the US is that these super-elite can do no wrong, some are persecuted against (ENRON, TYCO) but most get away with huge swindles, especially of your tax dollars.

"I also think that imperialism is a system who's time is long past...it is simply no longer an economically viable system as evidenced by the Iraq occupation.  I think most countries figured that out long ago, but for some reason the Bush administration didn't get the memo. "

The Bush foreign policy is a dangerous mix of idealism and corporatism; as a result you have imperialist wars and policies. The PNAC is the idealistic part, that the US is the torch bearer of "freedhem" and "democrapcy" to the whole world, in reality their notion of freedom is really neoliberalism. It has little to do with substantive democracy, rather procedural democracy legitimizing exploitation for American capital and military. The corporate interests obviously are making billions off the backs of both the American and Iraqi people, both in terms of money and lives. As we have recently seen, the privatization of Iraq's oil into the hands of the Western oil giants shows what this war was really for. The problem is that American's think that this war is for the betterment of all Americans, no its for the betterment of a segment of American society. America is such a class ridden society that money comes before country. Your doughboys are just that...cannon fodder for corporate interests, thats who they are fighting for.

"However I do think you need some reading in addition to your hero Veblen. "

I have already read about 5 books this summer break...Veblen is not the limit of my analysis. Veblen is one of the reasons I cannot be a Marxist. Marx does not represent the logic of American corporate capitalism, rather mid-19th century simple capitalism...Veblen describes the logic of corporate America and the stock market...something that Marx ignored because he felt it was merely "fictitious capital".

"He, like you, sees major problems with "the system", but unlike you he also tries to find ways to exploit these problems for profit (I highly recommend the practice by the way). "

So he doesn't want to solve anything, but rather is a parasitic opportunist? Yup, an enemy.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 12:12:27 PM EST

[ Parent ]
"So he doesn't want to solve anything, but rather is a parasitic opportunist? Yup, an enemy."

Beats banging your head against a brick wall!  We can discuss principles and opportunity when you actually have some capital of your own.  Will you simply deficit spend like most wage earners to live beyond your means, save money in your mattress, invest in quality companies on the toronto stock exchange?  My guess is you'll probably just save a few percent of your income in low yeilding government bonds and CD's and complain how evil capitalists are causing inflation and killing your returns to keep you a slave to the system...

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 02:34:06 PM EST

[ Parent ]

I seem to be playing the markets myself...well fantasy markets as I am a poor student lol. I prefer to play the currency markets than the actual markets. For instance since May 19th (starting with initial capital of $100k) I now have over $131k:


Unfortunately, the FSX game does not have a wide plethora of currencies. For example I would be making a killing I had investments in the Brazilian Real, or the Uruguayan Peso :(. So I can play the game, I don't want to game the system parasitically causing and prolonging crisis like he does.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 04:19:07 PM EST

[ Parent ]
Its amazing what a little knowledge can do!  The question you will have to ask yourself when you do have capital is... is it rational for you to take advantage of your knowledge of economics and the world situation to make a profit.  I would say absolutely it is!  Unlike you, most people do not see investing as parasitic.  BTW did you ever even read any of the articles or did you just assume he was a parasite because he is an investor and puts his own money behind his thoeries? 

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 06:58:38 PM EST

[ Parent ]
There are different kinds of investment, good and bad.

 Good: Greenfield investment that creates jobs and increases the productive capacity of society

Thus, that kind of investment is not parasitic by definition.

What is parasitism:

"Parasitism is a type of symbiotic relationship between organisms of different species in which one, the parasite, benefits from a prolonged, close association with the other, the host, which is harmed."

That is the second kind of investment, which includes stock market, currency markets, real estate, etc.

These types of investments produce absolutely nothing but speculation and crisis, thus yes they are parasitic. They feed off the labour of the working class, the foolish consumerism of the working class, and gullibility of the masses to manipulate them for the interests of the few. Parasitic capitalism is American capitalism, pure and simple, that is the whole idea behind my post. The few are feeding off the many...slowly killing the many for their own interests. Either the host dies, or the parasites die...thus this is the endemic crisis of American capitalism.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 09:41:09 PM EST

[ Parent ]

"BTW did you ever even read any of the articles or did you just assume he was a parasite because he is an investor and puts his own money behind his thoeries? "

 Ya I read some of his stuff...he's ok, but there are much better out there. I do not think that MSN money will tell me the truth considering that Microsoft is one of the biggest beneficiaries of parasitic capitalism.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 09:43:04 PM EST

[ Parent ]
Microsoft is not a master hive mind.  MSN money is a part of microsoft in the business of selling financial information and commentary, for the latter they hire individuals with individual opinions.  You can either agree or disagree with the opinions, that is the point of commentary but spare me the corporate conspiracy tripe. 

" Ya I read some of his stuff...he's ok, but there are much better out there."

Send me some links, i'd be happy to take a look.  I can always use new sources to help me become a better parasite! 

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 10:09:46 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Do you really think that MSN money would really publish what I write? Proves my point entirely...these writers have their work filtered through editors who certainly work in the interest of Microsoft and parasitic capitalism. If I get my work published on MSN money, then maybe I'll believe it. The only place I would get my work published is either in academia...or high end magazines that only a select few read.

"Send me some links, i'd be happy to take a look.  I can always use new sources to help me become a better parasite! "

As if... 

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 10:28:08 PM EST

[ Parent ]
"Do you really think that MSN money would really publish what I write?"

The won't publish what you write not because of bias, but because you are a 22 year old with no background or credibility.  If your blog becomes popular and starts getting millions of hits a month then someone would probably start paying you for your opinion.  Until then you're stuck with me arguing in the comments section. 

"As if...  "

I guess I'm not worty of the wisdom of your phantom commentators. 

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 10:44:59 PM EST

[ Parent ]
It is true that greenfield investment is usually preferable to purchasing shares on a secondary market, however these markets serve very important functions.  They allow participants with small amounts of capital to buy a piece of much larger organizations and own a piece of the income stream.  They also provide liquidity to allow investors to easily shift funds from unproductinve or obsolete capital (GM, Bear Sterns) to more promising capital (First Solar, Appache).  While the investment in existing shares may not directly benifit the company, higher stock values are useful when issuing more shares or bonds to raise capital. 

While the system is clearly imperfect and there are what could be considered "parasitic" losses, the additional advantages provided by the market outweigh the inefficiencies IMHO.  This is generally true of all systems.  As complexity increases, functionality increases, but so do the losses.  Cyanobacteria are far more efficient organisms than oak trees or humans, but that does not mean they are superior to either one. 

by alphasigmookie on 06/23/2008 10:39:14 PM EST

[ Parent ]
"The won't publish what you write not because of bias, but because you are a 22 year old with no background or credibility. "

No, they will publish what I write because I challenge everything they believe in and challenge the current system which they all benefit from. Once i get my Ph.D, yes I will have to get my work published, and eventually I may become mainstream...even then I doubt I would lower myself to MSN money. I am not looking for popularity, such a superficial accounting of success, what I am looking for is influence.

"I guess I'm not worty of the wisdom of your phantom commentators. "

Nope...because you are going to use it for nefarious purposes.

"They allow participants with small amounts of capital to buy a piece of much larger organizations and own a piece of the income stream. "

True, the do...but the markets are based on those investors following the herd, the herd (institutional investors) then with insider information leave the stock en masse, then short it leaving those uninformed investors in the lurch, this is how the big boys make money. How many ENRON's, Martha Stewart's does it take for you to realize this simple fact? The only thing with ENRON and Martha is that they got caught.

"  They also provide liquidity to allow investors to easily shift funds from unproductinve or obsolete capital (GM, Bear Sterns) to more promising capital (First Solar, Appache). "

Errr...wrong, that is not how the market works. The market follows trends, where they think the greatest probabilty of profit exists. Compare the market capitalization of GM to First Soalr...you get my drift. The markets are NORTIOUSLY inefficient at the "efficient" allocation of capital because they invest where profit exists not where productivity exists, no they are not the same thing.

"While the system is clearly imperfect and there are what could be considered "parasitic" losses, the additional advantages provided by the market outweigh the inefficiencies IMHO. "

I am not even sure what you are trying to say here, so I'll leave it alone.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/23/2008 11:13:00 PM EST

[ Parent ]
"True, the do...but the markets are based on those investors following the herd, the herd (institutional investors) then with insider information leave the stock en masse, then short it leaving those uninformed investors in the lurch, this is how the big boys make money. "

You could give Carlin a run for his money in the cynacism area.  You definitely attribute far to much intelligence to the masterminds you imagine (you don't happen to be a 9/11 truther do you?).  Either way, if you follow the heard you deserve to get slaughtered! 

"Compare the market capitalization of GM to First Soalr...you get my drift."

I'm not sure I get your drift, the market cap of FSLR is ~23 Billion which is over 3 times the market cap of GM at a puny 7 Billion.  This is a reasonably efficient valuation since FSLR is a fast growing and profitable company developing and selling the future of energy and GM is a dinosaur of a company that is hemoraging money at a rate of almost $50 billion a year and continues to makes shitty cars that are not well suited for a world with $4 gasoline.   

by alphasigmookie on 06/24/2008 12:52:55 AM EST

[ Parent ]
"You definitely attribute far to much intelligence to the masterminds you imagine (you don't happen to be a 9/11 truther do you?).  Either way, if you follow the heard you deserve to get slaughtered! "

Its not intelligence its logic, they are two different things. But, lets not ignore that ENRON's cooking the books is more common than we know, most people are not capable of being whistleblowers...so the evidence and preponderance of logic suggests that its more of a rule than a exception. No I am a not a"truther", because I really don't think it matters a great deal, the damage has been done already to American democracy.

"I'm not sure I get your drift, the market cap of FSLR is ~23 Billion which is over 3 times the market cap of GM at a puny 7 Billion. "

I was even shocked by that...you are right! But that is only logical, since GM basically has no more profit left in it...since Market Capitalization is what investors believe will be future profit.

"GM is a dinosaur of a company that is hemoraging money at a rate of almost $50 billion a year and continues to makes shitty cars that are not well suited for a world with $4 gasoline.   "

Replace GM with America...and you got it right!

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/24/2008 12:48:04 PM EST

[ Parent ]
"I was even shocked by that...you are right!"

Its amazing sometimes how that works!  Funny how broken, illogical and rigged markets can manage to come to "logical" valueations of two highly different companies. 

"Replace GM with America...and you got it right! "

Looks like you've found your investing thesis.  Only time will tell if you're right.  I would argue that it's a bit of a following the heard move though, especially at this stage.  Buffet's been short the dollar since 2002, you're six years late to the party and the bull market on American pessimism is getting tired. 

by alphasigmookie on 06/24/2008 02:24:53 PM EST

[ Parent ]
that the markets were illogical, people obviously will not put their money in failing businesses. However, what I am talking about is the booms and busts that occur with these "trends" Dot-Com, Mortgages, Emerging Markets, Oil futures, etc. There is a term for this..."irrational exuberance" from that great "socialist" Alan Greenspan. Investors are looking for quick returns, and that is done with propaganda, manipulation of financial data, and through that enticing the gullible or not-so gullible investors large or small.

"Looks like you've found your investing thesis.  Only time will tell if you're right.  I would argue that it's a bit of a following the heard move though, especially at this stage. "

Its not a investing strategy, short the US...sure that makes sense for now. I will not count the US out completely just yet! It is without question that the US is becoming less and less relevant for a multiplicity of reasons, America's decline could be slow or fast...but I don't think the US will ever re-gain its position that it held in the 90s or 50s.

Blog: http://perspectivos.blogspo t.com/

by Nick86 on 06/24/2008 03:48:21 PM EST

[ Parent ]
While I will agree that the boom and bust cycle in many important commodities and existing industries like oil, iron, corn and realestate are probably inefficient long term, I would disagree on new industries.  The "irrational exuberance" that occurs many times with new industries can in fact be a net good.  Industries like Biotech, Nanotech, IT, renewable energy, even emerging markets can greatly benifit from the floods of investment capital that accompanies these "bubbles".  In such industries there will be dozens of sucess stories and hundreds of failures, but that is not always a bad thing.  In a new area, failure can teach you as much as sucess.  Also, even the failed businesses provide jobs and build human capital and expertise in the area of interest which is valuable for continuing to build the industry. 

One thing that many people tend to forget is that economics is not a zero sum game.  My gain is not necessarily your loss (at least in absolute terms).  Innovation allows for a continually gowing pie.  The only real limits are human imagination and thermodynamics.&nb sp;

by alphasigmookie on 06/24/2008 04:56:42 PM EST

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