Let's Check in on the "Negative Bounce"
posted by desertpear 08/28/2008 03:17:29 PM EST
Our resident Republican propaganda tool Ken "history will remember American Liberals of the early 21 century as the most vile, worthless bunch of cocksuckers who ever lived in this country" TX recently reported, perhaps a little too hastily and disingenuously, on Obama's "Negative Bounce" from the Democratic National Convention. Of course, as many pointed out to him, there is usually a slight delay between an event and its effect on the polls. Shall we check in today?
From Gallup:
"The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Denver, and is no doubt beginning to reflect the typical convention "bounce" that Gallup has observed in most party conventions in recent decades. There is a lag of sorts involved in the daily tracking; interviewing is conducted in most parts of the country before that evening's high-focus speeches have taken place. Thus, the current three-day average would reflect any impact of Monday night's speech by Michelle Obama, and Tuesday night's speech by Hillary Clinton, but would not completely reflect Wednesday night's lineup of speakers, such as John Kerry, former President Bill Clinton, and vice presidential nominee Joe Biden, nor the appearance on stage at the end of the evening by Barack Obama himself....there is already a six percentage point bounce evident in the data, although the final "official" post-convention bounce used in comparison with other recent conventions will not be tabulated by Gallup until interviewing for Friday through Sunday is completed (reported next Monday on gallup.com)."
