Haily Marys, Quick Hitters and Popping the Question: Rich's Analysis Dump

In the interest of my never ending fight against blog proliferation and my almost complete lack of free time, I am going to once again run through some unrelated thoughts on the current state of the election.

THE FIRST W

There is a question someone needs to ask John McCain.  Not just because it would seriously hurt him, but because it is almost criminal no one has asked him yet.  

McCain and Palin keep telling us that they are going to reform the corruption in the Republican Party.  Because they are "reformers."

So let me get this straight, McCain acknowledges that there is corruption in his own party.  He claims to have some knowledge of it.  What is missing here?

When I was in middle school, we spent a day or two talking about the press.  My teachers told me  journalists were supposed to tell us the the five Ws: Who, What, Where, When and Why. (Then they added How just to fuck me up in High School, but I digress.)

So McCain says, "I will stop the corruption, which I am aware of, in the Republican Party!"

And the media responds with, "Senator McCain, can you explain your awesomeness or is it beyond words?"

See, I have a j-degree and I would have asked a different question.  Guess that is why I am not on network news.

The question should be (and its not too late):

"Senator McCain, who are the corrupt elected officials in your party?"

Look, there are over 170 Republicans running for reelection in the House and 18 in the Senate.  Wouldn't it be a lot easier to just have you tell us who they are so we can not reelect them rather than having you spend your term rooting out and impeaching these villains?

I mean, its not like you don't have other stuff to do as president.  And, evidently, multitasking isn't one of your strong suits.

Country First, Senator.  Let us help you help us.

What's that?  You aren't sure, you just know some of them are corrupt?  So we should just view those 200 candidates with a general air of suspicion, huh?

Come on, media.  When a thirty year Senate veteran declares he is aware of corruption in his party and there is gonna be an election in 40 days, don't you think that calls for some follow up reporting?

Or do we just acknowledge that McCain is totally full of shit and that this is just some lie he says to get votes.

STROKING MYSELF

Just in case you are wondering if this is a good idea, here is me saying Obama and surrogates should just start casually calling McCain a liar.

Read it and weep, Kenny

See where the trend line starts shooting up like a guy on ten doses of viagra?  That is when Obama took my advice.

Here is me explaining that the white hot spotlight of celebrity is BAD for McCain's campaign back when everyone was convinced it would save him. (the last section of the blog)

And here I am predicting the Palin Media Blackout would lead to the Palin Media Backlash which would hurt McCain.

Although I am probably proudest of my finely tuned bullshit detector which led me to the real reason for the "call of the debates" fumblerooski.

I was going to put together a much longer list of the things I have been wrong about but Ken kindly volunteered to do it for me.  Go ahead and scroll down, it will be somewhere down there soon.

JOHN McCAIN- (D) - MN

There is a lot of talk about who John McCain is.

His supporters want you to think he's Ronald Reagan.

His detractors, George W. Bush.

A lot of people see Bob Dole.

Me? Well, let's see.  Longtime Senator running for president.  Losing early, picks woman VP, shoots up to a lead in polls for about a week and a half.  Then campaign craters under withering attacks on Mrs. VP and candidates own percieved weakness.

That's right.

John McCain is Walter Mondale.

Even I wouldn't have pussed out of the debates! 

But, don't worry, Johnny.  Mondale turned it around and we all lived happily ever after under his stewardship.  So don't change a thing!

And while we are here, wasn't the whole trying to run away from the debates a total Democrat move?

A) I'm scared of my opponent.

B) I will rally people to my side with righteousness, perception and snide attacks be damned!

C) I will cry when the media doesn't sell my side of the story for me.

Welcome to our world, Republican Party.

"THE PLAY"

If John McCain threw (another) Hail Mary yesterday, give Obama a Pass Broken Up.  The "two things at once line" will live in election lore.

But give Letterman an interception returned for a touchdown.

If you didn't see it, Dave woodshedded McCain.

He was pretty clear that McCain:

  • was scared
  • was acting not out of patriotism, but political self-preservation
  • lied to Dave about it
  • was either delusional or dishonest if he believe he was going to fly into DC with his cape and save us all

In the end, it was pretty brutal.  And it might just do two things.  It might reach some of those undecided and it almost certainly will set the frame for the discussion.  And its a frame that is heavily stacked against McCain.

THE TOP OF THE SLIPPERY SLOPE

In the last 24 hours, the president has scared the shit out of us over a financial crisis most believe the Republicans caused, Sarah Palin used the word depression, a major news network started a campaign accusing the McCain campaign of sexism and demanded Sarah Palin be opened to the press like an Alaskan wildlife refuge, his Campaign Manager is looking at an FBI investigation for taking bribes from the people who caused the crash and McCain got bitchslapped by Obama on the debate issue and is now openly being called a coward and is generally considered to be in a full blown state of panic.

It was a bad day.  It followed a bad week which was preceded by a bad week.  The upshot is McCain's numbers are terrible.

In the last four days, eight straight polls have been released showing McCain trailing somewhere between 2 and 9 points.  (avergae is 5)  Daily trackers tell a similar story.  While Gallup was tied today, Rasmussen had him with his biggest deficit since July (3), the other two have him down 6.

He is losing in North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and New Mexico.  Any two of which will cost him the election.

And all that was BEFORE his day of days yesterday.

Yeah, unless the McCain camp can perform a truly miraculous spin job (86% think the debates should go on) these numbers are likely to get dramatically worse.

Tim, 48 is looking good.  For now.

THE THING WE DON'T TALK ABOUT

He might have stroked out.

THE OTHER THING WE DON'T TALK ABOUT

The National Enquirer appears to have something approaching evidence in the Palin extramartial affair

No one seems to talk about this, but the guy Sarah was allegedly banging has someone desperately trying to seal his divorce proceeding documents.  I'm sure there is a non-Palin related perfectly reasonable explanation for it though.

Remember when I said Palin will be dropped from the ticket when the affair broke?

Start your Replacement VP Office Pool today.

TWOFER

What if she has to step down due to scandal and he has to step down for health reasons?

Who replaces them?  I am all ears.

Of course, if just he steps down, Sarah will move to the top of the ticket, right?  She is more qualified than anyone else in the country for the job.  Right?

Thats about enough for now.

 

 

 

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was already on MSNBC claiming that McCain is responsible for the bail out moving forward


by Chinese Democracy on 09/25/2008 04:09:37 PM EST

You pretty much said everything that's been floating around in my brain for the last few days, and then some.  I really can't wait until some serious polling is done post-debate-gate.  Would it be unimaginable for Obama to open up a 5-8 point lead (going by Gallup which has it tied right now)?  I think not.

Once again, McCain caught his party and his talking points puppets off guard because no one had a clear "voice" in trying to spin the campaign suspension.  This also happened after the Palin pick.  McCain picks Palin, and no one in the Pub punditry knew how to sell her.  It took them about 2 days to get their act together (at which point, she was pimped out like a 2 dollar whore).  Yesterday, McCain suspends the campaign, and today, the only positive thing people can say about McCain's move is that McCain is (yet again) a "maverick" for doing what he does.

As I said yesterday, this is a blood-in-the-water-moment.& nbsp; The MSM, the blogosphere, the American voter, everyone, EVERYONE should start asking serious questions about McCain's thought process and his ability to lead.  And Obama needs to make the "two things at once" line into his new campaign slogan.  It needs to be on signs.  It needs to be on buttons.  It needs to be a banner across his website.  I almost wish he could pull a Carole Keeton Strayhorn* and ask that his name on the ballot be printed as Barack "Two Things at Once" Obama.


*She's Scott McClelland's mom and when she ran for governor of Texas and wanted her name on the ballot to read "Grandma" because she had been married so many times, she never had the same last name from one election to another.

by Kang the Conqueror on 09/25/2008 05:11:55 PM EST

Carol Keeton McClellan Rylander Strayhorn has a pretty sweet scam for a politician.

Every time the voters get tired of her, she just remarries and changes her name.  Viola!  Brand new politician!

This is a huge advantage for female pols.  Don't believe me?

Imagine if Jeb Bush

I am so mad at my big brother! 

could marry George Clinton and take his name!

Well, I am pretty freaky, after all 

Dynasty restored.

by ProfRich on 09/26/2008 11:10:14 AM EST

[ Parent ]
Consider it recommended.

by Spencer on 09/25/2008 05:17:41 PM EST

and isn't that what really matters?  ;)

by Spencer on 09/25/2008 06:10:35 PM EST

[ Parent ]
What would happen if something happened to McCain before November 4th? Does the RNC step in and replace him or something or does it automatically go to Palin? and if so, who would be the new VP?

here are some choices if we want the worild to come to an end:
-Dick Cheney
-Palin's husband
-Palin's high-school BFF
-Hot-Karl Rove
-Palin's newborn

Y.

by chrisandyasemin on 09/25/2008 05:33:35 PM EST

If McCain can't go, how juiced is Mitt Romney gonna be.

Mittens is jerking off to that stroke eye.

I heard a rumor he has sunk 10 mil into a super secret stroke inducer.

Not sating anything...

by ProfRich on 09/25/2008 11:07:34 PM EST

[ Parent ]
The only problem is that the media could/would turn around and ask *Obama* about corrupt Dems.

As for the Palin Enquirer stuff, why is NO ONE touching that story? What, it's ok for John Edwards but not for Palin? Isn't that sexist?

Has Cenk even covered it yet?

by Tom Hanc on 09/25/2008 08:55:30 PM EST

On yesterdays show.

by Spencer on 09/25/2008 09:27:24 PM EST

[ Parent ]
on my podcasts.

by Tom Hanc on 09/25/2008 10:01:27 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Obama hasn't claimed there are corrupt Dems.

IF they ask, all he has to say is he has no idea what they are talking about.

Its apples and oranges.

by ProfRich on 09/25/2008 11:15:36 PM EST

[ Parent ]
PS---See Vicky Cristina Barcelona (your wife probably won't like it though).

Oh, and did you not see Sideways yet? What's your problem?!

;)

by Tom Hanc on 09/25/2008 11:26:17 PM EST

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