2012: Could the Mayans have been right?

To paraphrase the movie 2012:

"We thought we were so smart with all our modern political science and advanced computer based election projections, but the Mayans saw this coming thousands of years ago."

I know it seems impossible today, but imagine the victory of a Cheyney/Palin Ticket in 2012. Surely the world would end in fire and chaos soon afterwards no?

Brings to mind my favorite all time quote.

"Stranger things have happened but none stranger than this."
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While I don't disagree that the Mayans brilliant for their time and even by todays standards. However, to have the same logic of Cheyney/Palin bringing and end to the world is no better than the Republicans that say Obama is the anti-Christ. I don't know the future nor can I predict the future so why do you think the Mayans could? What did they know that we don't? If the ability to tell the future was in fact their specialty than how did they become extinct? How could they not see their own demise if they could see the earths?

by Thundrstorm on 11/21/2009 01:28:00 AM EST

she'd launch the entire US nuclear arsenal as inauguration fireworks.  But if she won, that wouldn't be until january 2013

by birdboy1 on 11/21/2009 09:00:29 AM EST

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...the world will end in fire;
Some say in ice.
From what I've tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.

--Robert Frost

by hazmat on 11/21/2009 02:26:23 AM EST

A Palin/Cheney presidency would hasten a lot of very bad things, but assuming that it will cause the "end of the world" is a bit much. 

Their energy policy would hasten climate change and kill all possible reform of it, but even in the worst legitimate scenarios, only a fraction of the world would be ruined by flooding, heat, droughts, tornados, etc., and probably not on a large scale until the 2030's.  

Yes, we would hasten major food and water shortages, but this would again only kill a fraction of the world's population within the next 30 years.  It would hasten the extinction of certain species, etc, and decimate a lot more natural resources, but we wouldn't feel those effects for a long time.

Yes, we would probably see some major global fireworks as regarding Iran, North Korea, Pakistan and Russia, and we might see a nuclear conflict between Iran and Israel, which would kill millions of people and probably lead to a fairly drastic re-drawing of certain Middle Eastern borders, but projections of cataclysmic global nuclear annihilation seem far-fetched.

And we would almost surely see the demise of America as a superpower, being a) completely bankrupt, b) rejected in any global initiative by the rest of the world, c) an utter laughingstock to the other civilized countries in the world, and d) no longer a place that welcomed much civil discussion on any matter of policy.

But, to be honest, a lot of these things are true today already, or are (seemingly) inevitably on that path. Look at things today--the government gets nothing done, the president seems to have almost no power of persuasion with Congress, religious lunacy and lobbyists and war-mongerers and know-nothings already dominate our political landscape and wield most of the power over our country, and we are already broke, already procrastinating the major crises the globe soon faces, and already crumbling morally, structurally, educationally and in terms of our competitiveness in the international workforce.  America is a dying empire, and it might seem like the end of the world because of how mythically exceptionalist we are, but Europe and Asia and Latin America would carry on with their own existences even if there was a global financial depression.

Bush and Cheney apparently (at least I cannot find evidence to the contrary) tried their hardest to screw up every single agenda item (except foreign aid) as thoroughly as possible.  And, while we might not be living much longer in what our parents saw as the "shining city upon a hill" that used to be America, and while almost every global and national trend has gotten worse since 2001, the world didn't end.  And it won't end with another horrible president, even one who is more arrogant and unqualified as Bush was.  And I think we have probably seen the Dick Cheney show play itself out.  It isn't like 9/11 happened in 2008 and we barely caught a glimpse of what an unscrupulous authoritarian war profiteer could do as Vice President.  Hard to imagine he could do much more damage than aiding in us ripping up our Constitution, going into two ill-advised trillion-dollar endless wars, emboldening every enemy we have on the planet, appointing two Conservative robots to the Supreme Court, drowning an American city, crashing the entire financial system, selling us out to Big Pharma and Big Oil, decimating the science, education and arts budgets, and never finding Bin Laden.

So this would be another dark moment in the 30+ year period of great darkness that has enveloped the United States.  But Palin/Cheney would just be a 10% worse version of the same.  And December 21st, 2012 will just be a slightly more paranoid recurrence of the Y2K scare. 

by Milltycoon on 11/22/2009 05:06:52 AM EST

"Yes, we would probably see some major global fireworks as regarding Iran, North Korea, Pakistan and Russia, and we might see a nuclear conflict between Iran and Israel, which would kill millions of people and probably lead to a fairly drastic re-drawing of certain Middle Eastern borders, but projections of cataclysmic global nuclear annihilation seem far-fetched."

 

Sorry Milltycoon, if this is your "let's look on the bright side" pep talk I have to call this one a colossal fail.

by bfaul on 11/23/2009 09:14:20 PM EST

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...and there is no bright side to this country electing someone as hideously awful in every way as Sarah Palin.  But it is hyperbole to claim that "the world would end" under a Palin presidency.  I honestly don't think it would be _that much worse_ than the wretched zombie state we are in now.

We are out of money.  We have essentially no power in the political system.  Every aspect of our lives is controlled by greedy corporations and ineffectual institutions.  Our education system, infrastructure, health system and legal system are all in tatters.  Much of the Constitution continues to be compromised.  40% of the citizenry is flagrantly ignorant, and just as many (with significant overlap) are mentally unstable.  Our military is forever stretched to the breaking point in useless, costly wars we can neither win or leave.  And religious fundamentalism and gun fundamentalism already dominates our consciousness, with neither our politicians or our media interested in giving us the truth about either or about anything else.  We already have an ultra-Rightwing Supreme Court, and we are already in the later stages of failing to combat a single one of the 8 major looming crises about to hit America and the world in the next 20 years.

The only thing that could conceivably be hopeful about a Palin presidency is that her policies would inevitably come crashing down upon one another, since FOX Conservatism is not a sustainable way to govern, and she would end up fighting more with Republicans than with Democrats, and really tear the heart out of the Right (at least if they were sane and recognized what was happening, which they probably won't).  Palin might seek war in Iran, but Conservatives don't want to pay higher taxes or institute a draft, and China's generosity cannot last forever, so she might find this desire impossible.  She might implement a total government freeze on spending, but only until Republicans realized that the pork projects they get from Congress are among the only things keeping jobs in their districts.  She might continue to crack down on legal abortions until she realized that either the illegal abortion number would skyrocket or the number of poor children would increase, and both of these stats favor Democrats in the long run.  

A move from where we are now to a Palin presidency might not be much more dramatic than a move from being forced to watch the worst, most boring half-hour sitcom ever made to the worst, most boring full-hour sitcom ever made.

by Milltycoon on 11/25/2009 06:00:16 AM EST

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