11/24/2009 10:03:35 AM EST
Hypocrisy...?
posted by Thothlike
Here in these forums I have encountered A LOT of hypocrisy on both sides of the political spectrum… both sides sprouting factless talking points and fear mongering about opposing view on their respectfully ‘holy cows’…
And if there is one thing I CAN'T STAND it is hypocrisy…
So I want to devise a little ‘experiment’ here where I’m gonna attack a ‘holy cow’ on both sides and provide the facts to back up my claims and then see what happens (both claims made by me are ones I personally truly believe in)…
My guess is that we will see the hypocrites on both sides standing side by side offering NO relevant facts to support their opposition and instead just resort to namecalling and baseless accusation… and then ALL the hypocrites will be exposed on both sides (all in one post)… :-D
Now I dare you to prove me wrong and actually provide a relevant discussion on the 2 subjects (incl. providing your own facts… or at least point out intelligibly where my interpretations of the facts went wrong and refrain from simple namecalling and baseless accusations)…
[editor's note, by MedfordTim]All bold is rude and unnecessary.
Let me start by attacking the right wing ‘holy cow’ of how public/universal healthcare is bad…
My contention is that the 'free' version (i.e. public option which would just be another insurance-provider paid for by premiums or universal healthcare which would be payed for by taxes) is way cheaper than the private insurance model...
To back up my claim you only have to see how much people in other countries with universal healthcare pay for their healthcare...
So how much do they pay…
I am Danish and therefore live in a country with universal healthcare... so let’s use me as an example...
Let’s presuppose that ALL my taxes payed so far went to providing healthcare for me (nothing went to the schools or police or benefits if I get unemployed etc.)...
I started paying taxes at the age of 16 and am now 37... for this argument I visited my government’s homepage to find out how much I have payed totally so far in my life...and I have so far payed 302.400$ (today’s rate of exchange) from the age of 16 to 37...
For that I have gotten so far...
All my vaccinations (even some extra as an adult for traveling to exotic places like Africa etc.)...
Countless home visits from a doctor throughout my life for everything from a sore throat to serious influenza (and once for dehydration after falling asleep in a tanning bed) :-D
14 days in the hospital and treatment (read: pumped full of antibiotics) for meningitis at age 12...
A checkup every 6 month (preventive care... something I wouldn't have gotten if I had to pay thousands of dollars every time)...
The removal of 2 vorts on my feet at age 32...
And I could go on... ALL at no extra cost and no denial for ANYTHING (incl. preexisting condition or being in the 5 or 95 percentile or... etc.)...
Now I don't know exactly how much each of these things would cost me in the US but you fill in the costs and tell me if I have payed to much... :-D
On top of that I have gotten...
Benefits for a total of 13 month in my life for being unemployed at approx. 1.500$/month...
Elementary school and high school and college at no extra cost and during my 7 years in college I on top of that got approx. 700$/month in student aid...
And again I could go on....
And later when I turn 65 I can retire and look forward to approx. 1300$/month for the rest of my life in benefits...
On top of that my taxes (and everybody else’s) also pay for the police... the fire department... the post office... etc. as it does in the US)...
So if you subtract all the percentile cost for school and benefits and police and all the other things... from my total payment in taxes you get a much lower number that I have payed for my healthcare... me personally I think I got a good deal and so does also EVERY poll in Denmark that shows in the high 90'ies percentile in favor of keeping universal healthcare as opposed to switch to private health insurance (the same as in ALL other European countries)... so we the public LOVES it...
But you do the math and see which is cheapest (and consider that we on top of everything are covered from birth even before we start paying for it until the day we die long after we stop paying for it with no denials for ANYTHING)...
The issue is... if you compare the cost of the healthcare that I have received during my lifetime (with no insurance) in the US (getting house calls from a doctor xx.xx$*x amount of times + hospitalized for 2 weeks with treatment and drugs for meningitis xx.xx$ + getting all my vaccinations xx.xx$ + ... etc. = xx.xx$ - you fill in the blank numbers) and what I have paid so far for healthcare in taxes would I have paid more or less with no insurance in the US than with the money I have paid for healthcare so far in taxes?
And more to the point... what would I have had to have paid to have been covered from age 0 till age 37 if I had to buy health insurance in the US?
And not only that but even if (which I don't think you'll find when you run the numbers but still...) I payed a little more than health insurance from age 0 to age 37 would have cost me in the US I would still have gotten better insurance that covers preventive care and is without the possibility of exclusion for ANYTHING... plus benefits and police and a no extra cost college-degree etc... so I still think I got the better deal :-D
Now if you really want to run the numbers... I presupposed that ALL my taxes went to healthcare (which it off course doesn't) so let me give you the exact amount I have paid directly to healthcare in my life so far...
Denmark uses 18% of its GNP on the healthcare system so it goes without saying that 18% of my taxes (and the taxes of everyone else) went to healthcare... so I have paid 18% of 302.400$ = 54.432$ in total in healthcare for the coverage I have received so far... still think I got a bad deal? :-D
But the point was that even if I had paid 100% (302.400$) in healthcare I still would have gotten a better deal... so only 18% (54.432$) is a hell of a deal... :-D
There really is no argument for not getting universal healthcare... you get better coverage without denials and it's cheaper... :-D
Now let the right wing ‘trolls’ go nuts :-D
Now it’s time to attack the left wing ‘holy cow’ of manmade global warming…
Here are some facts…
Most of the global warming people are mostly concerned with the rising in temperatures which causes the polar ice caps to melt which causes the water levels to rise which would be detrimental to humans... so...
1. Is the icecaps melting?
Yes… and using the latest reliable data it is 11% in the Arctic region and 3% in the Antarctic region pr. decade… there are no ands ifs or buts about it… but here’s the thing…
If our only concern was water levels we could care less if the Arctic ice cap melted at 11% or 35% or 100% a decade or a year or a minute… you see the Arctic ice cap is floating on water and ice has a larger volume than water so it displaces more water than it holds (for the ice below water) and it will add water (for the ice above the water)… too bad it’s not possible to write mathematical formulas in this forum (or I would have) so you’ll just have to take my word for it (or research it yourself)… but the overall effect of the melting of ice floating in water is actually is miniscule drop in water level and for an ‘ice cube’ the size of the Arctic ice cap the global water levels would drop about 17cm (do the math yourself if you want too)…
The BIG problem for global sea levels is the Antarctic ice cap… and that’s because it lays on land… so ALL the melting of it will result in rising of global sea levels (in an amount that makes the 17cm drop from the Arctic ice cap insignificant)… that coupled with the fact that 61% of all water on Earth (85% of all ice on Earth) is trapped in the Antarctica ice cap (30mill cubic km) if it all melted we would have a net rise of the global sea levels of about 7m and that’s problematic (to say the least)…
But the only concern about the melting icecaps is NOT only the rise or fall of global sea levels but also the salinity and temperature of the seawater… and in that respect the Arctic ice cap becomes EXTREMELY important because it is almost 100% fresh water (whereas the Antarctic ice cap is mostly seawater)…
So what happens if a freshwater ‘ice cube’ the size of the Arctic ice cap is melted into the sea… first of all it will drop sea salinity to catastrophic levels for sea life and we will see mass extinctions of species for which the entire Earths ecosystem relies… and second of all the new cold water from the north will disrupt (and maybe even extinguish) the large sea currents (like the Gulf stream) which are responsible for distributing heat from the Equator to the poles and the weather patterns that we see today would run amok devastating land life in a degree that would make it (if not impossible) extremely hard for humans to survive…
So the melting of the ice caps is DEFINITELY something to worry about…
2. What is causing it?
Well let’s start with a little math :-D
Humans release about 26.4Gt (Giga tons) of CO2 pr. year into the atmosphere… now that sounds damaging… but that’s not the whole story…
The oceans release about 330Gt of CO2 pr. year… and the animals and plant life (excluding humans) release about 400Gt of CO2 pr. year… (equals 730Gt of CO2 pr. year) so human emissions seams miniscule in comparison… but again that’s not the whole story…
You see the oceans also absorb 330Gt of CO2 pr. year (pretty much the same amount it releases)… and plant life absorbs 420Gt of CO2 pr. year (an overall reduction of CO2 by 20Gt pr. year)… so the actual ‘human CO2 footprint’ is about 26.4Gt-20Gt = 6.4Gt of CO2 pr. year…
It’s an increase but not a big one…
So what are the effects of a yearly increase of CO2 levels of 6.4Gt in the atmosphere… well the effects are debatable since CO2 is a VERY ineffective greenhouse gas… and it only comprises 3% of all the greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere (the most effective being water vapor which comprises 93% of all the greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere)… so a 0.00127% (6.4Gt) increase a year of one of the most ineffective greenhouse gasses which is in small amounts overall to begin with really doesn’t have much of an effect at all (it would take thousands of years to have a noticeable effect)… but that’s just my opinion… you do your own math…
But there is NO DOUBT that temperatures is rising and the subsequent effects of the ice caps melting will be catastrophic so we need to find the REAL reasons for the warming so we can see if this is a one way trend (only rising) making the effects catastrophic… or it is cyclical and therefore will start to cool again sometime in the future making the effects temporary and not so catastrophic…
So what are the real reasons for the global warming if not manmade CO2?
Well here I’m just speculating (since most if not all research has been on manmade CO2)… but I’ll give it a shot…
There are some interesting facts that have been left out of the discussion… first off it’s not only the Earth that is warming… at least Venus Mars and Jupiter (those are the planets we have measured but that doesn’t mean they are the only ones) are seeing global warming too (and even Mars is experiencing melting of its polar ice caps (one more thing to make manmade CO2 the culprit unlikely)… the problem seems to be solar system wide…
Well what is the one thing the entire solar system has in common? (I’ll give you a hint… it’s big and yellow and brings light every morning) :-D
You guessed right… the Sun…
And another fun fact in that regard is that the maximums of solar activity have risen slowly for about 30 years (about the same time temperatures started rising and not when we started increasing our CO2 footprint with the industrialization in the late 1800’dreds) where it will reach its absolute maximum in 2012 after which its maximums will fall again… so to me all the facts seem to point to the Sun being the culprit… but you are welcome to disagree :-D
So what can we do about it?
Well the short answer is nothing… sorry folks but if the Sun is the culprit there really isn’t anything we humans can do to change it but sit back and watch… sad but true… but here’s the good news… if the Sun is the culprit then temperatures will only rise until 2012 and then fall again (stopping the melting of the polar ice caps and increasing the refreezing of set ice caps)… and we will be alright since it was only in the hypothetical case of ALL (or most) of the polar ice caps melting that we would have problems…
So to summarize…
Yes the Earth is warming but it isn’t our fault and it will freeze again soon so we’ll be alright…
That being said… pollution in the form of burning of fossil fuels (creating CO2) has other and almost as far reaching consequences as global warming so switching to clean renewable energy sources is still a VERY good idea if we want to survive (but that’s a subject for an entirely different discussion)…
And just remember… this is NOT politics people... it is science... and science is about finding the truth... it's NOT a vote... so it really doesn't matter if there is a consensus or not... what matters are the facts... (i.e. there was once a consensus that the Sun revolved around the Earth... then came this annoying little scientist Copernicus and said 'eeeeh no... the facts say the Earth revolves around the Sun'... and HE was right and the consensus was wrong... then the consensus was that the Universe was static... then came this annoying little scientist named Hubble and said 'eeeeh no... the facts say that the Universe is expanding' and HE was right and the consensus was wrong... then there was a consensus that the Universe was flat and then came this annoying little scientist named Einstein and said ‘eeeeh no… the Universe curves around masses creating Gravity’ and HE was right and the consensus was wrong… then the consensus was… etc. (and I could go on for hours… the point being that what the majority sais doesn’t matter in science ONLY the facts does)…
Now let the left wing ‘trolls’ go nuts… and we’ll compare the right wing nuts to the left wing nuts and see if they are any different from each other :-D
Love Thothlike
So far...
Right wing trolls: ??? (come on where are you... I know you want to attack my left wing views on healthcare) :-D
Well this have been a positive surprise for me... I set out to expose the trolls on both sides and found only one...
I have found plenty people that disagree with me...
on manmade global warming and...
on my views on healthcare...
But they have all been willing to have an honest an open discussion on the two subjects and though we still disagree we all kept it civil and on point without resorting to either calling me a damned Liberal that should be shot for siding with the terrorists or speculation on my emotional health...
Only one person resorted to troll-like behavior (and I'm sad to say it was on the left side of the spectrum)... and that's...
His aproach was to first ignore my arguments about manmade CO2 (apparently agreeing with them)... and jumping straight to throwing things like 'exotic gasses' (Methane, CO, SO2, CFC... only one of which (Methane) is a greenhousegas and therefore relevant... and manmade Methane is in so small quantities it to is irrelevant in a discussion on manmade global warming) and other irrelevant facts around and then calling me mentally disturbed for disagreeing with him... true troll-like behavior...
I hope you all see the difference between disagreements and trolls... disagreements I like... trolls pisses me off :-D
So thank you to those mentioned that surprised me (in the positive sense) by not being trolls and proving me wrong... you've reaffirmed my initial high belief in this forum on TYT :-D